{"id":158206,"date":"2024-08-08T12:30:01","date_gmt":"2024-08-08T02:30:01","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/propertyupdate.com.au\/?p=158206"},"modified":"2024-08-08T11:01:11","modified_gmt":"2024-08-08T01:01:11","slug":"how-we-can-predict-the-future","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/propertyupdate.com.au\/how-we-can-predict-the-future\/","title":{"rendered":"How we can predict the future"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>A futurist is someone who studies trends and factors that impact the future.<\/p>\n<p>Studying society and observing trends helps to paint a trajectory for the future.<\/p>\n<p>Futurists have a lot in common with historians because they both look at how times have changed.<\/p>\n<p>They look both back and forward, to gain a better perspective of where things are going.<\/p>\n<p>Futurists study human nature and behaviour.<\/p>\n<p>They understand the seasonality of things, and how history can repeat itself.<\/p>\n<p>Looking at the context and the trends helps one navigate the way forward.<\/p>\n<p>The future is not an inevitable destination. It\u2019s not something that we happen to head towards.<\/p>\n<p>Rather, it is something that can be shaped, created and influenced, when the right tools are used.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-180489 img-responsive\" src=\"https:\/\/cdn.propertyupdate.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/future7.jpg\" alt=\"Future7\" width=\"800\" height=\"450\" srcset=\"https:\/\/cdn.propertyupdate.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/future7.jpg 800w, https:\/\/cdn.propertyupdate.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/future7-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/cdn.propertyupdate.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/future7-600x338.jpg 600w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 800px) 100vw, 800px\" \/><\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"toc_link\" id=\"how-perspective-evidence-and-tools-help-to-paint-a-picture-of-the-future\">How perspective, evidence, and tools help to paint a picture of the future<\/span><\/h2>\n<p>Having perspective is an important aspect of looking to the future.<\/p>\n<p>It is very common to be focused on the current state when responding to current issues and dealing with current processes.<\/p>\n<p>But we do need to glance to the horizon and look at what\u2019s next.<\/p>\n<p>2030 will one day be today.<\/p>\n<p>2050 will one day be today.<\/p>\n<p>The future has a habit of moving towards us, and so having a perspective of what the next three, five, or ten years might bring is essential for any leader so that they can prepare for that inevitable reality.<\/p>\n<p>Gathering evidence is also essential. Rather than just dream, hope, or have unrealistic goals for the future, great leaders build their perspective and direction on evidence.<\/p>\n<p>Futurists are not crystal ball gazers.<\/p>\n<p>We don\u2019t just have some wild predictions of what the future might be.<\/p>\n<p>Rather, it is based on the current evidence.<\/p>\n<p>In addition to having perspective and gathering evidence, a futurist also needs the right tools.<\/p>\n<p>A good perspective of where we\u2019re going, evidence on which it is based, and the tools to understand the future is how futurists can become a masters of their craft.<\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"toc_link\" id=\"five-factors-to-help-us-be-prepared-for-the-future\">Five factors to help us be prepared for the future<\/span><\/h2>\n<p>It\u2019s almost impossible to predict actual events that will take place in the future.<\/p>\n<p>For example, who could have predicted that a global pandemic would be a reality? <!-- BODY -->\r\n<!-- \/21854739906\/BooksAll \r\n<div class='gam-all googlead' id='div-gpt-ad-1591967275697-0'>\r\n  <script>\r\n    googletag.cmd.push(function() { googletag.display('div-gpt-ad-1591967275697-0'); });\r\n  <\/script>\r\n<\/div> -->\r\n\r\n<div class=\"adplugg-tag\" data-adplugg-zone=\"books_of_michael_yardney_body_\"><\/div><\/p>\n<p>Or the rise of electric vehicles, cryptocurrencies, or working-from-home would eventuate?<\/p>\n<p>Some of these trends seemed to come from nowhere.<\/p>\n<p>While these events or trends were not predicted, a lot of the factors that got us there were.<\/p>\n<p>That is what a futurist focuses their attention on.<\/p>\n<p>Not on the specific events, but the solid foundations from which to get a trajectory towards the future, which provides the context in which to operate.<\/p>\n<p>Here are five trends to keep your eye on, when thinking about the future.<\/p>\n<p>1.\u00a0<strong>Asymmetrical trends.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>We are in an era now where change comes about, not from nation-states or those that hold political power, but through trending hashtags and individuals who share their stories.<\/p>\n<p>The #metoo movement is one example, which came from social media, and transformed industries, and led to social change.<\/p>\n<p>2.<strong>\u00a0Generational transitions.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>The study of generations today provides a sense of where things will be in 15 years, as the next generation takes over and moves to the fore.<\/p>\n<p>3. <strong>Catalytic changes.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>This is where a catalyst and a trend combine to create societal change.<\/p>\n<p>Take the trend of working from home.<\/p>\n<p>We\u2019ve had the technology for a long time, but it took the catalyst of lockdowns, in a global pandemic, to force us to pick up the technology to see work-from-home become a new, common way of working.<\/p>\n<p>4. <strong>Human centricity.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>While technology is a factor driving the future, it is important to understand that the human psyche will always play an important part in shaping the future as well.<\/p>\n<p>5. <strong>Counter trends.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Whenever there is a mainstream trend, there will be a counter-trend.<\/p>\n<p>For example: as things become more digital, there will be a trend back to the analogue.<\/p>\n<p>There is always going to be a counter-trend to every mainstream trend, and that\u2019s a key area for people to look at to find future realities.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-158207 img-responsive\" src=\"https:\/\/cdn.propertyupdate.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/10\/fig04.png\" alt=\"Fig04\" width=\"1160\" height=\"344\" srcset=\"https:\/\/cdn.propertyupdate.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/10\/fig04.png 3240w, https:\/\/cdn.propertyupdate.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/10\/fig04-800x237.png 800w, https:\/\/cdn.propertyupdate.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/10\/fig04-600x178.png 600w, https:\/\/cdn.propertyupdate.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/10\/fig04-300x89.png 300w, https:\/\/cdn.propertyupdate.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/10\/fig04-1920x569.png 1920w, https:\/\/cdn.propertyupdate.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/10\/fig04-1536x455.png 1536w, https:\/\/cdn.propertyupdate.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/10\/fig04-2048x607.png 2048w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1160px) 100vw, 1160px\" \/><\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"toc_link\" id=\"why-leaders-need-to-be-futurists\">Why leaders need to be futurists<\/span><\/h2>\n<p>In a world of increasing volatility, uncertainty, complexity, and ambiguity, leaders who gain an understanding of the trends at play will be better equipped for the future.<\/p>\n<p>While no futurist can predict what Black Swan events (like COVID-19) will occur or when we can predict with 100% certainty that there will be more to come.<\/p>\n<p>The very definition of the word \u2018leader\u2019 refers to someone who leads people in a direction.<\/p>\n<p>The only reason a leader can lead is that they have looked down the road, to where they\u2019re headed.<\/p>\n<p>That gives them the responsibility, knowledge, astuteness, and insight to not only be an expert in their area but to understand their context and observe what\u2019s happening outside their organisation.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-158208 img-responsive\" src=\"https:\/\/cdn.propertyupdate.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/10\/fig05.png\" alt=\"Fig05\" width=\"1160\" height=\"344\" srcset=\"https:\/\/cdn.propertyupdate.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/10\/fig05.png 3240w, https:\/\/cdn.propertyupdate.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/10\/fig05-800x237.png 800w, https:\/\/cdn.propertyupdate.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/10\/fig05-600x178.png 600w, https:\/\/cdn.propertyupdate.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/10\/fig05-300x89.png 300w, https:\/\/cdn.propertyupdate.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/10\/fig05-1920x569.png 1920w, https:\/\/cdn.propertyupdate.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/10\/fig05-1536x455.png 1536w, https:\/\/cdn.propertyupdate.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/10\/fig05-2048x607.png 2048w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1160px) 100vw, 1160px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>The key characteristic of a leader is foresight.<\/p>\n<p>The reason that they can lead others is that they have the foresight, ability, and discipline to look at the horizon and take others with them.<\/p>\n<p>By looking at what is currently taking place, they can use perspective, evidence, and tools to understand their context and be prepared for what\u2019s to come.<\/p>\n<p>That is how leaders will be able to lead their people and organisations well into the future.<\/p>\n<div class=\"adplugg-tag\" data-adplugg-zone=\"demographics_decoded_desktop_\"><\/div>\r\n<div class=\"adplugg-tag\" data-adplugg-zone=\"demographics_decoded_mobile_\"><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>A futurist is someone who studies trends and factors that impact the future. Studying society and observing trends helps to paint a trajectory for the future. Futurists have a lot in common with historians because they both look at how times have changed. They look both back and forward, to gain a better perspective of&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":126,"featured_media":158217,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[54],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-158206","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-latest-property-updates"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v24.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>How we can predict the future<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"A futurist is someone who studies trends and factors that impact the future. 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