{"id":188271,"date":"2025-04-24T17:30:53","date_gmt":"2025-04-24T07:30:53","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/propertyupdate.com.au\/?p=188271"},"modified":"2025-04-24T22:44:42","modified_gmt":"2025-04-24T12:44:42","slug":"is-this-the-beginning-of-the-property-supercycle","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/propertyupdate.com.au\/is-this-the-beginning-of-the-property-supercycle\/","title":{"rendered":"Is this the beginning of the property supercycle?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>After a turbulent few years in the Australian property market, we\u2019re now seeing a consistent pattern emerge\u2014price growth has continued for the third month in a row.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"530\" data-end=\"697\">According to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.raywhite.com\/news-and-market-insights\/economic-updates\/price-growth-continues-for-the-second-month-running\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Ray White<\/a>\u2019s Chief Economist, <a href=\"http:\/\/raywhite.com\/people\/chief-economist-nerida-conisbee\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Nerida Conisbee,<\/a> property prices will continue to increase.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"530\" data-end=\"697\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-post-fullsize wp-image-188273 img-responsive\" src=\"https:\/\/cdn.propertyupdate.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/Strong-price-growth-continues-11-March-800x578.jpg\" alt=\"Strong Price Growth Continues 11 March\" width=\"800\" height=\"578\" srcset=\"https:\/\/cdn.propertyupdate.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/Strong-price-growth-continues-11-March-800x578.jpg 800w, https:\/\/cdn.propertyupdate.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/Strong-price-growth-continues-11-March-300x217.jpg 300w, https:\/\/cdn.propertyupdate.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/Strong-price-growth-continues-11-March-958x692.jpg 958w, https:\/\/cdn.propertyupdate.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/Strong-price-growth-continues-11-March-1536x1110.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/cdn.propertyupdate.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/Strong-price-growth-continues-11-March-600x434.jpg 600w, https:\/\/cdn.propertyupdate.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/Strong-price-growth-continues-11-March.jpg 1600w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 800px) 100vw, 800px\" \/><\/p>\n<p data-start=\"530\" data-end=\"697\">She explains:<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p data-start=\"699\" data-end=\"815\">\"The biggest driver of this price growth continues to be a lack of stock available for sale.\"<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p data-start=\"817\" data-end=\"1086\">Put simply, more buyers are competing for fewer properties, which is putting upward pressure on prices.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"886\" data-end=\"1277\">And the data supports this. For the second month running, property prices are rising across the country, with capital cities leading the charge.<\/p>\n<p>In particular:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong data-start=\"1050\" data-end=\"1074\">Sydney and Melbourne<\/strong> are gaining momentum again, despite affordability challenges.<\/li>\n<li><strong data-start=\"1141\" data-end=\"1163\">Brisbane and Perth<\/strong> continue their strong upward trajectory.<\/li>\n<li><strong data-start=\"1209\" data-end=\"1229\">Regional markets<\/strong> are stabilising after a period of correction.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-post-fullsize wp-image-188274 img-responsive\" src=\"https:\/\/cdn.propertyupdate.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/Price-growth-HOUSES-11-March-800x926.jpg\" alt=\"Price Growth Houses 11 March\" width=\"800\" height=\"926\" srcset=\"https:\/\/cdn.propertyupdate.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/Price-growth-HOUSES-11-March-800x926.jpg 800w, https:\/\/cdn.propertyupdate.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/Price-growth-HOUSES-11-March-259x300.jpg 259w, https:\/\/cdn.propertyupdate.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/Price-growth-HOUSES-11-March-598x692.jpg 598w, https:\/\/cdn.propertyupdate.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/Price-growth-HOUSES-11-March-1328x1536.jpg 1328w, https:\/\/cdn.propertyupdate.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/Price-growth-HOUSES-11-March-600x694.jpg 600w, https:\/\/cdn.propertyupdate.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/Price-growth-HOUSES-11-March.jpg 1383w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 800px) 100vw, 800px\" \/><\/p>\n<p data-start=\"1279\" data-end=\"1417\">While some experts expected the downturn to last longer, the reality is that Australia\u2019s housing market has proven incredibly resilient.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"1279\" data-end=\"1417\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-post-fullsize wp-image-188275 img-responsive\" src=\"https:\/\/cdn.propertyupdate.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/Price-growth-UNITS-11-March-800x926.jpg\" alt=\"Price Growth Units 11 March\" width=\"800\" height=\"926\" srcset=\"https:\/\/cdn.propertyupdate.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/Price-growth-UNITS-11-March-800x926.jpg 800w, https:\/\/cdn.propertyupdate.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/Price-growth-UNITS-11-March-259x300.jpg 259w, https:\/\/cdn.propertyupdate.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/Price-growth-UNITS-11-March-598x692.jpg 598w, https:\/\/cdn.propertyupdate.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/Price-growth-UNITS-11-March-1328x1536.jpg 1328w, https:\/\/cdn.propertyupdate.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/Price-growth-UNITS-11-March-600x694.jpg 600w, https:\/\/cdn.propertyupdate.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/Price-growth-UNITS-11-March.jpg 1383w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 800px) 100vw, 800px\" \/><\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"toc_link\" id=\"are-we-entering-a-property-supercycle\">Are we entering a property supercycle?<\/span><\/h2>\n<div class=\"notes\"><div class=\"notes-inner\"><span class=\"icon\"><picture><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/propertyupdate.com.au\/wp-content\/themes\/oldpaper\/img\/note.svg\" alt=\"pencil icon\"><\/picture><\/span><p><span class=\"tips-notes\">Note: <\/span> A supercycle in property markets refers to an extended period of sustained price growth, driven by a combination of economic and demographic factors. <\/p><\/div><\/div>\n<p>While it\u2019s too early to declare that we\u2019re in a full-blown supercycle, several key indicators suggest we\u2019re heading in that direction:<div class=\"adplugg-tag\" data-adplugg-zone=\"the_sentiment_campaign_body_\"><\/div><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li data-start=\"1430\" data-end=\"1599\"><strong data-start=\"1433\" data-end=\"1452\">Stock Shortages<\/strong> \u2013 As Conisbee highlighted, there just aren\u2019t enough properties on the market to meet demand. This is a structural issue, not a short-term trend.<\/li>\n<li data-start=\"1600\" data-end=\"1766\"><strong data-start=\"1603\" data-end=\"1624\">Population Growth<\/strong> \u2013 Australia\u2019s post-pandemic migration boom is adding hundreds of thousands of new residents each year, increasing the need for housing.<\/li>\n<li data-start=\"1767\" data-end=\"1962\"><strong data-start=\"1770\" data-end=\"1797\">Interest Rate Stability<\/strong> \u2013 While rates remain higher than a few years ago, we\u2019ve now moved past the cycle of constant rate hikes. A stable rate environment helps improve buyer confidence.<\/li>\n<li data-start=\"1963\" data-end=\"2110\"><strong data-start=\"1966\" data-end=\"1983\">Rental Crisis<\/strong> \u2013 With vacancy rates at record lows and rents skyrocketing, more investors are entering the market, further fuelling demand.<\/li>\n<li data-start=\"2111\" data-end=\"2259\"><strong data-start=\"2114\" data-end=\"2142\">Construction Bottlenecks<\/strong> \u2013 The high cost of building and supply chain delays mean that new housing supply isn\u2019t keeping up with demand.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>All of these factors combined create the perfect storm for continued price growth.<\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"toc_link\" id=\"what-could-derail-this-growth\">What could derail this growth?<\/span><\/h2>\n<p data-start=\"2389\" data-end=\"2514\">While the signs are pointing towards a prolonged growth phase, no market moves in a straight line.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"2389\" data-end=\"2514\">Potential risks include:<\/p>\n<ul data-start=\"2515\" data-end=\"2936\">\n<li data-start=\"2515\" data-end=\"2656\"><strong data-start=\"2517\" data-end=\"2552\">Further interest rate increases<\/strong> \u2013 If inflation proves stubborn, the RBA may be forced to hike rates again, which could dampen demand, but with all that's happening in the world with Trump's tariffs - this is unlikely to happen - it's much more likely we will have three or four more interest-rate falls over the next year<\/li>\n<li data-start=\"2657\" data-end=\"2795\"><strong data-start=\"2659\" data-end=\"2686\">Government intervention<\/strong> \u2013 Policies aimed at curbing price growth, such as tax changes for investors, could impact market dynamics. Having said that, both political parties have promised incentives for first time buyers that are going to push up property values by increasing demand.<\/li>\n<li data-start=\"2796\" data-end=\"2936\"><strong data-start=\"2798\" data-end=\"2824\">Global economic shocks<\/strong> \u2013 Events such as a recession in major economies could filter through to Australia and weaken buyer sentiment. However, if this occurs, it's likely that the RBA will drop interest rates which will be positive for a housing market.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2><span class=\"toc_link\" id=\"whats-ahead\">What's ahead?<\/span><\/h2>\n<p data-start=\"2964\" data-end=\"3239\">We\u2019re seeing strong signals that we could be at the beginning of a new property supercycle.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"2964\" data-end=\"3239\">As Ms Conisbee explains:<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p data-start=\"2964\" data-end=\"3239\">\"The combination of low supply, strong demand, and economic resilience is pushing prices higher, and there\u2019s little relief in sight for buyers hoping for a market correction.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p data-start=\"3241\" data-end=\"3503\">So, if you\u2019ve been sitting on the sidelines waiting for a better time to enter the market, you might want to reconsider your strategy.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"3241\" data-end=\"3503\">While short-term fluctuations are always possible, the broader trend suggests property values are set to keep rising.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"3505\" data-end=\"3726\">Of course, not all markets will perform equally.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"3505\" data-end=\"3726\">That\u2019s why, as I always say, it\u2019s more important than ever to take a strategic approach, focusing on high-growth locations, strong fundamentals, and properties with long-term potential.<\/p>\n<h2 data-start=\"3505\" data-end=\"3726\"><span class=\"toc_link\" id=\"a-window-of-opportunity\">A window of opportunity<\/span><\/h2>\n<p>I see the market moving to the next phase of the property cycle as interest rates continue to fall over this year.\u00a0<div class=\"adplugg-tag\" data-adplugg-zone=\"scoreapp_body_\"><\/div><\/p>\n<p>In general when interest rates decline, the market tends to experience a surge in activity.<\/p>\n<p>More buyers can afford larger loans, and as demand escalates, property prices often soar.\u2019<\/p>\n<p>Buyers who were previously priced out of the market start to re-enter, and those on the sidelines rush to buy before prices climb too high.<\/p>\n<p>This creates a snowball effect that can rapidly drive up property values in growth markets.<\/p>\n<p>However, here's the key takeaway:\u00a0<strong>waiting for rates to drop further might mean missing out.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Remember...there are always markets within markets\u2014while some areas may cool down in the first half of this year, others will still experience growth.<\/p>\n<p>This highlights the importance of looking at data-driven insights and short-term pressure indicators.<\/p>\n<p>I see the current market offering a window of opportunity for <a href=\"https:\/\/propertyupdate.com.au\/the-long-term-benefits-of-property-investing\/\">property investors with a long-term focus<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>As I explained,we have what someone would call a \"perfect storm\" of factors that will lead to strong property markets over the next couple of years.<\/p>\n<p>So as I said, I see this as a window of opportunity for those who are financially in the position to buy their next home or investment property.<\/p>\n<p>Not that I suggest you try and time the market- this is just too difficult, and in truth, you\u2019ve missed the bottom which occurred two years ago in early-2023.<\/p>\n<p>But if the market hands you an opportunity like this, why not take advantage of it?<\/p>\n<p>Taking advantage of the upturn stage of a property cycle has created significant wealth for investors in the past.<\/p>\n<p>Moving forward, demand is going to continue to outstrip supply for some time to come as we experience strong levels of immigration at a time when we\u2019re just not building anywhere as many properties as we require.<\/p>\n<p>At the same time, the cost of construction of delivering new dwellings will keep increasing not only because of supply chain issues and the lack of sufficient skilled labour but also because builders and developers will only commence new projects if they are financially viable and currently new projects will need to come on line at considerably higher prices than the current market prices.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"3505\" data-end=\"3726\"><div class=\"adplugg-tag\" data-adplugg-zone=\"the_sentiment_campaign_mobile_\"><\/div>\r\n<div class=\"adplugg-tag\" data-adplugg-zone=\"the_sentiment_campaign_desktop_\"><\/div><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>After a turbulent few years in the Australian property market, we\u2019re now seeing a consistent pattern emerge\u2014price growth has continued for the third month in a row. According to Ray White\u2019s Chief Economist, Nerida Conisbee, property prices will continue to increase. She explains: &#8220;The biggest driver of this price growth continues to be a lack&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":94,"featured_media":152405,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[54,3],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-188271","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-latest-property-updates","category-property-investment"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v24.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Is this the beginning of the property supercycle?<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"After a turbulent few years in the Australian property market, we\u2019re now seeing a consistent 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