{"id":189253,"date":"2025-05-20T19:30:25","date_gmt":"2025-05-20T09:30:25","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/propertyupdate.com.au\/?p=189253"},"modified":"2025-05-23T17:17:08","modified_gmt":"2025-05-23T07:17:08","slug":"rate-cut-will-support-housing-markets-but-dont-expect-a-boom-in-housing-prices-until-affordability-improves","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/propertyupdate.com.au\/rate-cut-will-support-housing-markets-but-dont-expect-a-boom-in-housing-prices-until-affordability-improves\/","title":{"rendered":"Rate cut will support housing markets, but don\u2019t expect a boom in housing prices until affordability improves"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Today's 25 basis point cut to the cash rate marks a further shift toward more accommodative monetary policy.<\/p>\n<p>With both headline and core inflation now within the RBA's 2\u20143% target range \u2014and no signs of a wage-price breakout despite ongoing tightness in the labour market \u2014 the RBA's decision to lower\u00a0rates for the second time in three meetings was widely expected.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-post-fullsize wp-image-189254 img-responsive\" src=\"https:\/\/cdn.propertyupdate.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/Annual-change-in-inflation-and-wage-price-800x383.jpg\" alt=\"Annual Change In Inflation And Wage Price\" width=\"800\" height=\"383\" srcset=\"https:\/\/cdn.propertyupdate.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/Annual-change-in-inflation-and-wage-price-800x383.jpg 800w, https:\/\/cdn.propertyupdate.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/Annual-change-in-inflation-and-wage-price-300x144.jpg 300w, https:\/\/cdn.propertyupdate.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/Annual-change-in-inflation-and-wage-price-600x287.jpg 600w, https:\/\/cdn.propertyupdate.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/Annual-change-in-inflation-and-wage-price.jpg 926w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 800px) 100vw, 800px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Borrowers are likely to benefit from this move through lower mortgage rates.<\/p>\n<p>The average variable rate for outstanding owner-occupier loans is expected to fall to\u00a0around 5.81%, reducing repayments on a $750,000 loan by approximately\u00a0$81\/month.<\/p>\n<p>Beyond the immediate financial relief, the rate cut is also expected to lift consumer confidence.<\/p>\n<p>While the Westpac\u2014Melbourne Institute monthly sentiment index has shown some volatility \u2014 particularly following the Liberation Day tariff announcements \u2014 historically rate cuts have tended to boost sentiment.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-post-fullsize wp-image-189255 img-responsive\" src=\"https:\/\/cdn.propertyupdate.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/Consumer-sentiment-v-volume-of-dwelling-sales-May-2025-800x450.jpg\" alt=\"Consumer Sentiment V Volume Of Dwelling Sales May 2025\" width=\"800\" height=\"450\" srcset=\"https:\/\/cdn.propertyupdate.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/Consumer-sentiment-v-volume-of-dwelling-sales-May-2025-800x450.jpg 800w, https:\/\/cdn.propertyupdate.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/Consumer-sentiment-v-volume-of-dwelling-sales-May-2025-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/cdn.propertyupdate.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/Consumer-sentiment-v-volume-of-dwelling-sales-May-2025-600x338.jpg 600w, https:\/\/cdn.propertyupdate.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/Consumer-sentiment-v-volume-of-dwelling-sales-May-2025.jpg 936w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 800px) 100vw, 800px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>This combination of lower interest rates and improved sentiment is likely to support increased activity in the housing sector, given that there is generally a correlation between consumer sentiment and home sales volumes.<\/p>\n<p>We may also see continued upward pressure on housing prices, extending the broad-based recovery in values that began after the February rate cut.<\/p>\n<p>That said, we don't expect a significant acceleration in capital gains.<\/p>\n<p>Several factors continue to constrain price growth, including stretched affordability, cautious lending practices, and the reality that despite 50 basis points of easing, interest rates remain in restrictive territory.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-post-fullsize wp-image-189256 img-responsive\" src=\"https:\/\/cdn.propertyupdate.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/RBA-cash-rate-target-and-pre-covid-averages-800x418.jpg\" alt=\"Rba Cash Rate Target And Pre Covid Averages\" width=\"800\" height=\"418\" srcset=\"https:\/\/cdn.propertyupdate.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/RBA-cash-rate-target-and-pre-covid-averages-800x418.jpg 800w, https:\/\/cdn.propertyupdate.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/RBA-cash-rate-target-and-pre-covid-averages-300x157.jpg 300w, https:\/\/cdn.propertyupdate.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/RBA-cash-rate-target-and-pre-covid-averages-600x314.jpg 600w, https:\/\/cdn.propertyupdate.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/RBA-cash-rate-target-and-pre-covid-averages.jpg 887w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 800px) 100vw, 800px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>While lower rates should help to make housing more accessible, further upward pressure on prices would offset the benefits of improved loan serviceability.<\/p>\n<p>Each of the four housing affordability metrics published by Cotality was either at record highs or equal record highs at the end of last year, a reminder of the challenges many prospective home buyers face.<\/p>\n<div class=\"adplugg-tag\" data-adplugg-zone=\"the_sentiment_campaign_mobile_\"><\/div>\r\n<div class=\"adplugg-tag\" data-adplugg-zone=\"the_sentiment_campaign_desktop_\"><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Today&#8217;s 25 basis point cut to the cash rate marks a further shift toward more accommodative monetary policy. With both headline and core inflation now within the RBA&#8217;s 2\u20143% target range \u2014and no signs of a wage-price breakout despite ongoing tightness in the labour market \u2014 the RBA&#8217;s decision to lower\u00a0rates for the second time&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":32,"featured_media":51973,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[54,1118],"tags":[572,1183],"class_list":["post-189253","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-latest-property-updates","category-news-and-features","tag-feature-featured","tag-homepage-top"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v24.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Rate cut will support housing markets, but don\u2019t expect a boom in housing prices until affordability improves<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Today&#039;s 25 basis point cut to the cash rate marks a further shift toward more accommodative monetary policy. 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